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V-Lab

Albert David GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

46.15%

decreased by 3.16%

1 Week

46.20%

decreased by 3.11%

1 Month

46.32%

decreased by 2.99%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:08 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Albert David GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 5, 2010 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 41% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6265
16.06***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1363
13.41***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8107
88.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0399
-2.79***

Persistence:

0.927

Half-life:

9 days