V-Lab
HeidelbergCement AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
38.59%
decreased by 1.44%
1 Week
38.55%
decreased by 1.48%
1 Month
38.41%
decreased by 1.62%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:09 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 189% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0729 | 17.17*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0386 | 18.13*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9115 | 394.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0731 | 12.69*** |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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