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V-Lab

HeidelbergCement AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

27.44%

decreased by 0.92%

1 Week

27.75%

decreased by 0.61%

1 Month

28.83%

increased by 0.47%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HeidelbergCement AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0753
17.60***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0399
18.44***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9094
391.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0735
12.59***

Persistence:

0.986

Half-life:

49 days