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V-Lab

HeidelbergCement AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 7th, 2026

1 Day

31.54%

decreased by 1.12%

1 Week

31.70%

decreased by 0.96%

1 Month

32.28%

decreased by 0.38%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 06:46 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of HeidelbergCement AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 188% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0734
17.25***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0389
18.19***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9111
393.56***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0732
12.67***

Persistence:

0.987

Half-life:

51 days