V-Lab
Thalia Therapeutics PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
84.14%
decreased by 1.69%
1 Week
89.24%
increased by 3.41%
1 Month
99.03%
increased by 13.20%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:29 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 4, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 5.0000 | 9.81*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1198 | 8.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7899 | 50.89*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0364 | -1.71* |
Persistence:
0.892
Half-life:
6 days
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