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V-Lab

Thalia Therapeutics PLC GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

84.14%

decreased by 1.69%

1 Week

89.24%

increased by 3.41%

1 Month

99.03%

increased by 13.20%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 06:29 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Thalia Therapeutics PLC GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 4, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset
Boundary Parameters

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

5.0000
9.81***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1198
8.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7899
50.89***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0364
-1.71*

Persistence:

0.892

Half-life:

6 days