V-Lab
AV Concept Holdings Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026
1 Day
92.04%
decreased by 3.78%
1 Week
88.38%
decreased by 7.44%
1 Month
78.65%
decreased by 17.17%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 31% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2259 | 19.80*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1755 | 20.01*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7664 | 111.67*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0410 | -3.01*** |
Persistence:
0.921
Half-life:
8 days
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