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V-Lab

AV Concept Holdings Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

92.04%

decreased by 3.78%

1 Week

88.38%

decreased by 7.44%

1 Month

78.65%

decreased by 17.17%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of AV Concept Holdings Ltd AMEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 2007 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 31% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.

μ

AMEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.2259
19.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1755
20.01***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7664
111.67***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0410
-3.01***

Persistence:

0.921

Half-life:

8 days