V-Lab
XtalPi Holdings Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026
1 Day
74.70%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Week
74.70%
unchanged at 0.00%
1 Month
74.70%
unchanged at 0.00%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:37 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 9, 2026 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.0000 | 0.33 |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9474 | 7.16*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.2604 | 0.00 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.9011 | 3.79*** |
Persistence:
0.947
Half-life:
13 days
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