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V-Lab

Him Teknoforge Ltd APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

50.40%

increased by 0.02%

1 Week

51.78%

increased by 1.40%

1 Month

54.93%

increased by 4.55%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Him Teknoforge Ltd APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2012 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days. The volatility power δ = 1.42 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.5665
9.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1449
21.86***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7887
75.39***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0204
-0.85
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4176
18.79***

Persistence:

0.911

Half-life:

7 days