V-Lab
Him Teknoforge Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
39.85%
decreased by 1.43%
1 Week
42.13%
increased by 0.85%
1 Month
46.20%
increased by 4.92%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jun 13, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 121 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1202 | 23.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7448 | 58.93*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0105 | 0.97 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0820 | 1.25 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0107 | 1.59 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9824 | 82.60*** |
Persistence:
0.870
Half-life:
5 days
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