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V-Lab

Him Teknoforge Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

39.85%

decreased by 1.43%

1 Week

42.13%

increased by 0.85%

1 Month

46.20%

increased by 4.92%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:59 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Him Teknoforge Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jun 13, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

121
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1202
23.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7448
58.93***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0105
0.97
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0820
1.25
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0107
1.59
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9824
82.60***

Persistence:

0.870

Half-life:

5 days