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V-Lab

Edip Gayrimenkul Yatirim APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 19th, 2026

1 Day

60.37%

decreased by 6.48%

1 Week

61.64%

decreased by 5.21%

1 Month

64.77%

decreased by 2.08%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 19, 2026 at 08:18 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Edip Gayrimenkul Yatirim APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 1994 to Aug 14, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 32% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets. The volatility power δ = 1.44 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.6286
15.58***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2426
32.98***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7180
90.97***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0965
-7.97***
δ

power

Transformation power

1.4390
36.12***

Persistence:

0.924

Half-life:

9 days