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V-Lab

Edip Gayrimenkul Yatirim GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026

1 Day

62.29%

increased by 1.47%

1 Week

62.96%

increased by 2.14%

1 Month

65.13%

increased by 4.31%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Edip Gayrimenkul Yatirim GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 30, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 24 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 24 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.64 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

21.4437
4.84***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1519
38.24***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9718
166.21***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.6431
20.88***

Persistence:

0.972

Half-life:

24 days