V-Lab
Edip Gayrimenkul Yatirim GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 26th, 2026
1 Day
58.66%
decreased by 3.94%
1 Week
60.17%
decreased by 2.43%
1 Month
64.21%
increased by 1.61%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 26, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Dec 30, 1994 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: positive returns raise next-day volatility 34% more than negative returns. Volatility rises more after gains than after losses, the reverse of the usual leverage effect and uncommon among risky assets.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.1519 | 25.92*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2783 | 21.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7005 | 91.86*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0711 | -4.80*** |
Persistence:
0.943
Half-life:
12 days
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