V-Lab
Arabian Pipes Co Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 16th, 2026
1 Day
26.47%
decreased by 1.73%
1 Week
28.13%
decreased by 0.07%
1 Month
32.85%
increased by 4.65%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 08:12 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 2006 to Aug 13, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 19 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 19 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2840 | 24.45*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2024 | 31.95*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7525 | 163.12*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0198 | 1.93* |
Persistence:
0.965
Half-life:
19 days
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