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V-Lab

Arabian Pipes Co MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

29.83%

decreased by 0.23%

1 Week

30.74%

increased by 0.68%

1 Month

32.73%

increased by 2.67%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Arabian Pipes Co MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 2006 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 36% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

46
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0733
18.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8394
81.24***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0263
5.19***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0374
2.28**
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0165
2.30**
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.9752
90.40***

Persistence:

0.926

Half-life:

9 days