V-Lab
Arabian Pipes Co GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
28.56%
decreased by 0.33%
1 Week
29.06%
increased by 0.17%
1 Month
30.69%
increased by 1.80%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:15 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 2006 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 31% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1434 | 14.69*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0703 | 17.51*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8926 | 239.24*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0221 | 3.25*** |
Persistence:
0.974
Half-life:
26 days
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