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Arabian Pipes Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

299.99%

increased by 8.09%

1 Week

301.33%

increased by 9.43%

1 Month

306.49%

increased by 14.59%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Arabian Pipes Co GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 6, 2006 to Aug 20, 2026
Extended Optimization

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

828.2750
9.01***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0589
111.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9966
2,880.37***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0071

Persistence:

0.997

Half-life:

204 days