V-Lab
Arabian Pipes Co GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
299.99%
increased by 8.09%
1 Week
301.33%
increased by 9.43%
1 Month
306.49%
increased by 14.59%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:16 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 6, 2006 to Aug 20, 2026Extended Optimization
Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.01 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 828.2750 | 9.01*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0589 | 111.69*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9966 | 2,880.37*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0071 |
Persistence:
0.997
Half-life:
204 days
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