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Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026

1 Day

39.11%

decreased by 2.66%

1 Week

42.09%

increased by 0.32%

1 Month

48.09%

increased by 6.32%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Dec 18, 2020 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 7 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 7 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 7-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.1055
5.09***
αARCH0.1932
7.22***
βGARCH0.7110
25.78***
γleverage0.1620
0.42

0.904

Persistence

7d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.1055
5.09***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1932
7.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7110
25.78***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.1620
0.42

Persistence:

0.904

Half-life:

7 days