V-Lab
Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, September 8th, 2026
1 Day
43.24%
decreased by 4.60%
1 Week
45.44%
decreased by 2.40%
1 Month
51.95%
increased by 4.11%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, September 8, 2026 at 07:47 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2021 to Sep 4, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 21 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 21 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 21-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.6394 | 4.07*** |
| αARCH | 0.2509 | 5.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6970 | 19.92*** |
| γleverage | 0.0396 | 0.42 |
0.968
Persistence21d
Half-lifeμ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.6394 | 4.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2509 | 5.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6970 | 19.92*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0396 | 0.42 |
Persistence:
0.968
Half-life:
21 days
Other Zhejiang MTCN Technology Co Ltd Analyses
Other Asy. MEM Analyses on International Equities