V-Lab
Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 9th, 2026
1 Day
40.47%
increased by 1.47%
1 Week
42.31%
increased by 3.31%
1 Month
42.74%
increased by 3.74%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 7, 2026 at 08:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2025 to Aug 6, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.5928 | 5.78*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1724 | 1.97** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 1.0263 | 2.25** |
Persistence:
0.172
Half-life:
0 days
Other Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark Analyses
Other Spline-GARCH Analyses on International Equities