V-Lab
Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
30.23%
increased by 0.24%
1 Week
32.29%
increased by 2.30%
1 Month
32.77%
increased by 2.78%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2025 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.3777 | 6.07*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1712 | 1.81* |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
Spline Coefficients
K=1
| γ1 | 0.3006 | 2.37** |
Persistence:
0.171
Half-life:
0 days
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