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V-Lab

Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark EGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

29.38%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Week

29.26%

decreased by 0.46%

1 Month

28.83%

decreased by 0.89%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark EGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2025 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.992, volatility shocks have a half-life of 82 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.

σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.992, shock half-life ~82 days
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0063
0.05
αARCH0.0185
0.71
βGARCH0.9916
26.66***
γleverage-0.0410
-1.09

0.992

Persistence

82d

Half-life
σ

EGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0063
0.05
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0185
0.71
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9916
26.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0410
-1.09

Persistence:

0.992

Half-life:

82 days