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V-Lab

Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026

1 Day

33.31%

increased by 0.47%

1 Week

36.11%

increased by 3.27%

1 Month

37.14%

increased by 4.30%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

All

graph of Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 8, 2025 to Aug 20, 2026

Model Insight

This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

36
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.3964
15.14***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.0000
0.00
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.3731
-15.59***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

2.0376
0.18
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0822
0.08
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.5520
0.18

Persistence:

0.210

Half-life:

0 days