V-Lab
Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
33.31%
1 Week
36.11%
1 Month
37.14%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2025 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
This asset shows a rare inverse leverage effect: volatility responds almost entirely to positive returns, rising far more after gains than after losses. This is the reverse of the usual leverage effect, rare among risky assets.
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 36 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3964 | 15.14*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.0000 | 0.00 |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.3731 | -15.59*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 2.0376 | 0.18 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0822 | 0.08 |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.5520 | 0.18 |
Persistence:
0.210
Half-life:
0 days
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