V-Lab
Nice ONE Beauty Digital Mark GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Sunday, August 23rd, 2026
1 Day
35.17%
decreased by 0.17%
1 Week
37.31%
increased by 1.97%
1 Month
39.14%
increased by 3.80%
Analysis last updated: Friday, August 21, 2026 at 08:23 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 8, 2025 to Aug 20, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 2 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 2 days.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.8714 | 4.61*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1071 | 3.45*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6049 | 8.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0175 | -0.41 |
Persistence:
0.703
Half-life:
2 days
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