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V-Lab

Trusval Technology GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, October 16th, 2026

1 Day

42.45%

decreased by 3.18%

1 Week

42.64%

decreased by 2.99%

1 Month

43.16%

decreased by 2.47%

Analysis last updated: Friday, October 16, 2026 at 09:14 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/15/2024

to

10/15/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Trusval Technology GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2017 to Oct 8, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 14 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 14 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 14-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3785
3.63***
αARCH0.1671
3.62***
βGARCH0.8183
25.30***
γleverage-0.0675
-1.01

0.952

Persistence

14d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3785
3.63***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1671
3.62***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8183
25.30***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0675
-1.01

Persistence:

0.952

Half-life:

14 days