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V-Lab

Trusval Technology GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

57.22%

decreased by 5.43%

1 Week

56.11%

decreased by 6.54%

1 Month

52.77%

decreased by 9.88%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 09:54 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

All

graph of Trusval Technology GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 23, 2017 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 13 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 13 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 13-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.4051
3.65***
αARCH0.1776
3.60***
βGARCH0.8076
23.36***
γleverage-0.0731
-1.04

0.949

Persistence

13d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.4051
3.65***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1776
3.60***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8076
23.36***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0731
-1.04

Persistence:

0.949

Half-life:

13 days