V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC Asy. MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
17.76%
decreased by 1.15%
1 Week
18.35%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Month
20.37%
increased by 1.46%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 7, 2006 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 52 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 52 days.
μ
AMEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0594 | 16.62*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2244 | 28.61*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7619 | 130.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0011 | 0.08 |
Persistence:
0.987
Half-life:
52 days
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