V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC APARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
17.69%
decreased by 0.25%
1 Week
18.86%
increased by 0.92%
1 Month
22.45%
increased by 4.51%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2003 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. The volatility power δ = 1.59 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.
σ
APARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1015 | 12.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2231 | 32.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7732 | 103.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0226 | -1.29 |
δ power Transformation power | 1.5876 | 16.02*** |
Persistence:
0.969
Half-life:
22 days
Other Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC Analyses
Other APARCH Analyses on International Equities