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V-Lab

Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC APARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

17.69%

decreased by 0.25%

1 Week

18.86%

increased by 0.92%

1 Month

22.45%

increased by 4.51%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC APARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2003 to Jul 30, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 22 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 22 days. The volatility power δ = 1.59 sits below 2, so large shocks influence volatility less than quadratically, a more outlier-robust response than standard GARCH.

σ

APARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1015
12.33***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2231
32.43***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7732
103.57***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

-0.0226
-1.29
δ

power

Transformation power

1.5876
16.02***

Persistence:

0.969

Half-life:

22 days