V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
17.33%
decreased by 1.21%
1 Week
18.62%
increased by 0.08%
1 Month
21.35%
increased by 2.81%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:43 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2003 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 116 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.3098 | 28.84*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5595 | 46.52*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0056 | -0.33 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.1097 | 2.74*** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.1427 | 4.35*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.8121 | 16.81*** |
Persistence:
0.867
Half-life:
5 days
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