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Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Sunday, September 13th, 2026

1 Day

13.20%

decreased by 1.17%

1 Week

14.06%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Month

16.98%

increased by 2.61%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:26 PM UTC

Date Range:

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to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

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graph of Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2003 to Sep 10, 2026

Model Insight

With persistence 0.996, volatility shocks have a half-life of 197 trading days (~0.8 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 3.48 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

High persistence: persistence 0.996, shock half-life ~197 daysv = 3.48 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst13.8547
1.26
αARCH0.1435
28.48***
βGARCH0.9965
391.70***
νDF3.4759
15.87***

0.996

Persistence

197d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

13.8547
1.26
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1435
28.48***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9965
391.70***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

3.4759
15.87***

Persistence:

0.996

Half-life:

197 days