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V-Lab

Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026

1 Day

17.69%

decreased by 0.95%

1 Week

19.01%

increased by 0.37%

1 Month

21.68%

increased by 3.04%

Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC SGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 24, 2003 to Jul 30, 2026

Model Insight

This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 7 trading days.

τ

Spline-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

4.1275
4.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2834
7.69***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6211
14.72***
γi Spline Coefficients
K=8
γ10.4461
4.14***
γ2-0.6009
-3.68***
γ30.4098
2.88***
γ4-0.4506
-3.17***
γ50.2461
1.80*
γ6-0.0593
-0.33
γ7-0.0987
-0.44
γ80.4101
1.64

Persistence:

0.905

Half-life:

7 days