V-Lab
Jordan Telecommunications Co PSC AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Wednesday, August 5th, 2026
1 Day
17.08%
decreased by 0.80%
1 Week
18.31%
increased by 0.43%
1 Month
22.13%
increased by 4.25%
Analysis last updated: Wednesday, August 5, 2026 at 07:42 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 24, 2003 to Jul 30, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 35 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 35 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1108 | 15.06*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2315 | 33.63*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7492 | 113.57*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0248 | 0.60 |
Persistence:
0.981
Half-life:
35 days
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