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V-Lab
V-Lab

Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

36.79%

decreased by 1.24%

1 Week

41.67%

increased by 3.64%

1 Month

49.44%

increased by 11.41%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 07:36 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 6, 2015 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 5 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 5 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 5-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst1.5699
6.67***
αARCH0.2217
7.77***
βGARCH0.6471
18.77***
γleverage0.0038
0.02

0.869

Persistence

5d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

1.5699
6.67***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2217
7.77***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6471
18.77***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0038
0.02

Persistence:

0.869

Half-life:

5 days