V-Lab
Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026
1 Day
24.68%
increased by 0.43%
1 Week
24.50%
increased by 0.25%
1 Month
24.48%
increased by 0.23%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:05 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 6, 2015 to Sep 18, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 3 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 3 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 3-day half-life
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| mwindow | 66 | |
| αARCH | 0.1560 | 4.19*** |
| βGARCH | 0.6211 | 10.21*** |
| γleverage | 0.0547 | 1.58 |
| λ₁tau intercept | 0.0081 | 0.37 |
| λ₂forecast adj. | 0.0596 | 1.68* |
| λ₃tau persistence | 0.9403 | 26.60*** |
0.804
Persistence3d
Half-lifeσ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 66 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1560 | 4.19*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6211 | 10.21*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0547 | 1.58 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0081 | 0.37 |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0596 | 1.68* |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9403 | 26.60*** |
Persistence:
0.804
Half-life:
3 days
Other Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd Analyses
Other MF2-GARCH Analyses on International Equities