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V-Lab

Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

38.41%

increased by 0.57%

1 Week

41.13%

increased by 3.29%

1 Month

47.02%

increased by 9.18%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 11:04 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 6, 2015 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.93 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 8-day half-lifev = 4.93 · fat tails
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst11.4769
3.80***
αARCH0.1457
6.22***
βGARCH0.9170
35.60***
νDF4.9333
2.80***

0.917

Persistence

8d

Half-life
𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.4769
3.80***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1457
6.22***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9170
35.60***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.9333
2.80***

Persistence:

0.917

Half-life:

8 days