Skip to main content
V-Lab

Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

39.78%

decreased by 0.31%

1 Week

42.31%

increased by 2.22%

1 Month

47.77%

increased by 7.68%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 09:42 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Mep Infrastructure Dev Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 6, 2015 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 8 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 8 days. Returns follow a Student-t distribution with v = 4.90 degrees of freedom, capturing fatter tails than a normal distribution.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

11.5469
15.08***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1460
24.37***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9149
137.03***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

4.8998
11.04***

Persistence:

0.915

Half-life:

8 days