V-Lab
GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
128.28%
decreased by 3.70%
1 Week
128.45%
decreased by 3.53%
1 Month
128.99%
decreased by 2.99%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.
σ
AGARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 2.5509 | 13.28*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0564 | 20.64*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9058 | 252.38*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.4672 | 0.95 |
Persistence:
0.962
Half-life:
18 days
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