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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

108.18%

decreased by 2.10%

1 Week

109.94%

decreased by 0.34%

1 Month

115.26%

increased by 4.98%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 05:55 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 18-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst2.5516
3.31***
αARCH0.0562
5.15***
βGARCH0.9056
62.87***
γleverage0.4526
0.23

0.962

Persistence

18d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5516
3.31***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0562
5.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9056
62.87***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4526
0.23

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days