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V-Lab

GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026

1 Day

128.28%

decreased by 3.70%

1 Week

128.45%

decreased by 3.53%

1 Month

128.99%

decreased by 2.99%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of GCM Corp Ltd AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026
Illiquid Asset

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 18 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 18 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

2.5509
13.28***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0564
20.64***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9058
252.38***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.4672
0.95

Persistence:

0.962

Half-life:

18 days