V-Lab
GCM Corp Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
124.00%
decreased by 5.12%
1 Week
125.06%
decreased by 4.06%
1 Month
128.16%
decreased by 0.96%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, July 25, 2026 at 10:02 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 15, 2007 to Jul 24, 2026Illiquid Asset
Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 15 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 15 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 3.3511 | 12.27*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0984 | 17.16*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8556 | 139.40*** |
Persistence:
0.954
Half-life:
15 days
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