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V-Lab

Natura Hue Chem Ltd MEM Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, August 14th, 2026

1 Day

31.16%

decreased by 1.13%

1 Week

33.08%

increased by 0.79%

1 Month

39.15%

increased by 6.86%

Analysis last updated: Friday, August 14, 2026 at 06:58 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Natura Hue Chem Ltd MEM

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 2012 to Jul 31, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 40 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 40 days.

μ

MEM Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3147
5.92***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1365
15.63***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8461
92.71***

Persistence:

0.983

Half-life:

40 days