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V-Lab

Natura Hue Chem Ltd MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

42.06%

decreased by 1.51%

1 Week

47.66%

increased by 4.09%

1 Month

61.21%

increased by 17.64%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Natura Hue Chem Ltd MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

91
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1324
1.31
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.6430
11.33***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0981
0.43
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

0.0094
0.06
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.5491
1.64
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.4509
1.70*

Persistence:

0.824

Half-life:

4 days