V-Lab
Natura Hue Chem Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026
1 Day
24,387.46%
decreased by 9,015.12%
1 Week
22,095.52%
decreased by 11,307.06%
1 Month
15,946.14%
decreased by 17,456.44%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
May 21, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.
𝑓
GAS-GARCH-T Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0000 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2986 | 662.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9011 | 1,263.86*** |
ν DF Student-t tail thickness | 2.0000 |
Persistence:
0.901
Half-life:
7 days
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