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V-Lab

Natura Hue Chem Ltd GAS-GARCH Student T Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Tuesday, August 25th, 2026

1 Day

24,387.46%

decreased by 9,015.12%

1 Week

22,095.52%

decreased by 11,307.06%

1 Month

15,946.14%

decreased by 17,456.44%

Analysis last updated: Tuesday, August 25, 2026 at 06:49 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

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10Y ·

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graph of Natura Hue Chem Ltd GAS-GARCH-T

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

May 21, 2012 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

The estimated Student-t degrees of freedom v = 2.00 sit at the infinite-variance boundary (v → 2): the model is attributing extreme moves to heavy tails rather than to volatility, so the volatility scale is unreliable here. See the boundary-parameters flag.

𝑓

GAS-GARCH-T Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0000
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.2986
662.15***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9011
1,263.86***
ν

DF

Student-t tail thickness

2.0000

Persistence:

0.901

Half-life:

7 days