V-Lab
Kudo Corp MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
22.22%
decreased by 0.63%
1 Week
24.77%
increased by 1.92%
1 Month
32.60%
increased by 9.75%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 10:25 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 21, 1997 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
With persistence 0.990, volatility shocks have a half-life of 71 trading days (~0.3 years), close to a unit root, so long-run forecasts are highly sensitive to this estimate.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2592 | 11.14*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1707 | 24.28*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8195 | 129.61*** |
Persistence:
0.990
Half-life:
71 days
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