V-Lab
Kudo Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
26.60%
decreased by 1.76%
1 Week
28.68%
increased by 0.32%
1 Month
32.05%
increased by 3.69%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:28 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 4 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 4 days.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 26 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.1977 | 12.82*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.6494 | 43.88*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | -0.0277 | -1.62 |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0114 | 1.96** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0085 | 3.88*** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9900 | 321.73*** |
Persistence:
0.833
Half-life:
4 days
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