V-Lab
Kudo Corp Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
22.42%
decreased by 1.80%
1 Week
24.23%
increased by 0.01%
1 Month
26.31%
increased by 2.09%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 10:27 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Apr 15, 1997 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 3 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.9563 | 8.52*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2050 | 5.10*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.5792 | 9.11*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=9
| γ1 | -0.1982 | -2.34** |
| γ2 | 0.1247 | 0.85 |
| γ3 | 0.3899 | 3.21*** |
| γ4 | -0.6436 | -5.21*** |
| γ5 | 0.4839 | 3.40*** |
| γ6 | -0.2483 | -1.65* |
| γ7 | 0.1656 | 1.08 |
| γ8 | -0.1019 | -0.75 |
| γ9 | 0.0466 | 0.46 |
Persistence:
0.784
Half-life:
3 days
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