V-Lab
RWE AG Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
23.23%
decreased by 0.83%
1 Week
23.50%
decreased by 0.56%
1 Month
24.32%
increased by 0.26%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This model fits a time-varying baseline (a spline), so volatility mean-reverts toward a slowly-shifting long-run level rather than a constant. Short-run deviations decay with a half-life of 17 trading days.
τ
Zero Slope Spline-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 1.2565 | 4.37*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0761 | 8.06*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8832 | 69.99*** |
Spline Coefficients
K=6
| γ1 | 0.0832 | 5.73*** |
| γ2 | -0.1302 | -6.41*** |
| γ3 | 0.0704 | 5.02*** |
| γ4 | -0.0235 | -1.82* |
| γ5 | -0.0146 | -1.08 |
| γ6 | 0.0224 | 2.09** |
Persistence:
0.959
Half-life:
17 days
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