RWE AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026
1 Day
25.47%
increased by 0.07%
1 Week
25.55%
increased by 0.15%
1 Month
25.84%
increased by 0.44%
Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:42 PM UTC
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News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Oct 16, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 126% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
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Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 126% more than positive returns
| Param | Value | t-stat |
|---|---|---|
| ωconst | 0.0377 | 4.71*** |
| αARCH | 0.0349 | 4.43*** |
| βGARCH | 0.9316 | 134.84*** |
| γleverage | 0.0440 | 2.62*** |
0.989
Persistence60d
Half-lifeσ
GJR-GARCH Model
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| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0377 | 4.71*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0349 | 4.43*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9316 | 134.84*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0440 | 2.62*** |
Persistence:
0.989
Half-life:
60 days
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