V-Lab
RWE AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026
1 Day
24.49%
decreased by 1.02%
1 Week
25.20%
decreased by 0.31%
1 Month
26.24%
increased by 0.73%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:33 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 185% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0528 | 15.15*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7323 | 55.07*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0977 | 16.18*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0318 | 2.33** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0578 | 2.51** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9320 | 36.62*** |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
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