V-Lab
RWE AG MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, July 27th, 2026
1 Day
24.31%
decreased by 0.77%
1 Week
25.40%
increased by 0.32%
1 Month
26.84%
increased by 1.76%
Analysis last updated: Sunday, July 26, 2026 at 12:16 AM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 2, 1990 to Jul 24, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 185% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
MF2-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
m window Rolling window length | 41 | |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0530 | 15.17*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7319 | 55.10*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0980 | 16.20*** |
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient | 0.0317 | 2.33** |
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity | 0.0578 | 2.52** |
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence | 0.9321 | 36.77*** |
Persistence:
0.834
Half-life:
4 days
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