V-Lab
Koninklijke Vopak NV MEM Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 17th, 2026
1 Day
19.73%
decreased by 0.57%
1 Week
20.82%
increased by 0.52%
1 Month
23.29%
increased by 2.99%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 15, 2026 at 11:53 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Nov 4, 1999 to Aug 14, 2026Model Insight
Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 9 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 9 days.
μ
MEM Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.2151 | 16.33*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.2177 | 35.46*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.7044 | 128.02*** |
Persistence:
0.922
Half-life:
9 days
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