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V-Lab

Koninklijke Vopak NV MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

19.37%

decreased by 0.42%

1 Week

21.18%

increased by 1.39%

1 Month

24.66%

increased by 4.87%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, August 23, 2026 at 01:19 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Koninklijke Vopak NV MF2-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 1999 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 65% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

MF2-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
m

window

Rolling window length

116
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1089
23.54***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7544
71.96***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0713
6.79***
λ₁

tau intercept

Baseline long-term coefficient

3.0867
0.19
λ₂

forecast adj.

Forecast performance sensitivity

0.0000
0.00
λ₃

tau persistence

Long-term factor persistence

0.0000
0.00

Persistence:

0.899

Half-life:

7 days