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Koninklijke Vopak NV GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, September 21st, 2026

1 Day

20.71%

increased by 0.61%

1 Week

22.20%

increased by 2.10%

1 Month

25.08%

increased by 4.98%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 01:04 AM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Koninklijke Vopak NV GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 1999 to Sep 18, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3183
4.62***
αARCH0.1084
3.10***
βGARCH0.7563
21.29***
γleverage0.0619
0.93

0.896

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3183
4.62***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1084
3.10***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7563
21.29***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0619
0.93

Persistence:

0.896

Half-life:

6 days