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V-Lab

Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, October 26th, 2026

1 Day

25.17%

decreased by 0.98%

1 Week

26.19%

increased by 0.04%

1 Month

29.21%

increased by 3.06%

Analysis last updated: Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 05:23 AM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/23/2024

to

10/23/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Oct 23, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 88% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 88% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.1935
6.30***
αARCH0.0794
5.21***
βGARCH0.8513
65.55***
γleverage0.0700
2.14**

0.966

Persistence

20d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1935
6.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0794
5.21***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8513
65.55***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0700
2.14**

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days