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V-Lab

Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026

1 Day

24.97%

decreased by 0.97%

1 Week

26.03%

increased by 0.09%

1 Month

29.16%

increased by 3.22%

Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1957
25.23***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0800
20.91***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8500
260.19***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0713
8.65***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days