V-Lab
Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026
1 Day
35.71%
increased by 10.95%
1 Week
35.86%
increased by 11.10%
1 Month
36.34%
increased by 11.58%
Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1965 | 25.26*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0801 | 20.94*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8497 | 259.68*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0715 | 8.67*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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