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V-Lab

Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 10th, 2026

1 Day

35.71%

increased by 10.95%

1 Week

35.86%

increased by 11.10%

1 Month

36.34%

increased by 11.58%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 8, 2026 at 11:06 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 3, 1990 to Aug 7, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1965
25.26***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0801
20.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.8497
259.68***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0715
8.67***

Persistence:

0.966

Half-life:

20 days