V-Lab
Obayashi Corp GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Friday, July 24th, 2026
1 Day
24.97%
decreased by 0.97%
1 Week
26.03%
increased by 0.09%
1 Month
29.16%
increased by 3.22%
Analysis last updated: Friday, July 24, 2026 at 07:20 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Jan 3, 1990 to Jul 17, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a notable leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 89% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.1957 | 25.23*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0800 | 20.91*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.8500 | 260.19*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0713 | 8.65*** |
Persistence:
0.966
Half-life:
20 days
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