Nikkei Stock Average Volatility Index

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{name} Model Equation

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Parameter	Value	t-statistic
m window Rolling window length	21
α ARCH Response to squared shocks	0.1288	27.97***
β GARCH Volatility persistence	0.6313	58.07***
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks	0.0704	9.77***
λ₁ tau intercept Baseline long-term coefficient	0.0413	3.29***
λ₂ forecast adj. Forecast performance sensitivity	0.0311	5.13***
λ₃ tau persistence Long-term factor persistence	0.9605	120.06***

V-Lab

Obayashi Corp MF2-GARCH Volatility Analysis

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