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V-Lab

K+S AG GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Monday, August 24th, 2026

1 Day

34.65%

increased by 4.69%

1 Week

34.76%

increased by 4.80%

1 Month

35.16%

increased by 5.20%

Analysis last updated: Saturday, August 22, 2026 at 08:27 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of K+S AG GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Jan 2, 1990 to Aug 21, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a modest leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 44% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.1095
18.30***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0497
16.47***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9196
354.66***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0219
4.72***

Persistence:

0.980

Half-life:

35 days