Fresenius SE & Co KGaA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis
Volatility prediction for Tuesday, July 14th, 2026
1 Day
25.21%
increased by 1.14%
1 Week
25.37%
increased by 1.30%
1 Month
25.96%
increased by 1.89%
Analysis last updated: Tuesday, July 14, 2026 at 06:32 PM UTC
News Impact Curve
How returns affect tomorrow's volatilityVolatility Forecast
How volatility evolves over timeParameter Estimates
Aug 7, 1992 to Jul 10, 2026Model Insight
This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 184% more than equivalent positive returns.
σ
GJR-GARCH Model
Tap to view equation
| Parameter | Value | t-statistic |
|---|---|---|
ω const Unconditional variance weight | 0.0468 | 14.10*** |
α ARCH Response to squared shocks | 0.0255 | 11.87*** |
β GARCH Volatility persistence | 0.9389 | 395.15*** |
γ leverage Additional response to negative shocks | 0.0471 | 9.89*** |
Persistence:
0.988
Half-life:
57 days
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