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Fresenius SE & Co KGaA GJR-GARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Thursday, October 22nd, 2026

1 Day

27.60%

decreased by 0.45%

1 Week

27.69%

decreased by 0.36%

1 Month

28.03%

decreased by 0.02%

Analysis last updated: Thursday, October 22, 2026 at 06:41 PM UTC

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Date Range:

from

10/21/2024

to

10/21/2026

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Fresenius SE & Co KGaA GJR-GARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Aug 7, 1992 to Oct 16, 2026

Model Insight

This asset exhibits a strong leverage effect: negative returns increase next-day volatility 189% more than equivalent positive returns.

σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Leverage: Negative returns increase volatility 189% more than positive returns
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.0468
3.55***
αARCH0.0250
2.94***
βGARCH0.9394
99.98***
γleverage0.0472
2.53**

0.988

Persistence

57d

Half-life
σ

GJR-GARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.0468
3.55***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.0250
2.94***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.9394
99.98***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.0472
2.53**

Persistence:

0.988

Half-life:

57 days