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Koninklijke Vopak NV AGARCH Volatility Analysis

Volatility prediction for Friday, September 11th, 2026

1 Day

21.40%

decreased by 0.27%

1 Week

22.75%

increased by 1.08%

1 Month

25.33%

increased by 3.66%

Analysis last updated: Friday, September 11, 2026 at 08:52 PM UTC

Date Range:

from

to

6M ·

1Y ·

2Y ·

5Y ·

10Y ·

All

graph of Koninklijke Vopak NV AGARCH

News Impact Curve

How returns affect tomorrow's volatility

Volatility Forecast

How volatility evolves over time

Parameter Estimates

Nov 4, 1999 to Sep 4, 2026

Model Insight

Volatility shocks decay with a half-life of 6 trading days, meaning a shock loses half its impact after approximately 6 days.

σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

Shock decay: Shocks decay with a 6-day half-life
ParamValuet-stat
ωconst0.3239
4.70***
αARCH0.1404
6.90***
βGARCH0.7505
20.82***
γleverage0.2096
0.89

0.891

Persistence

6d

Half-life
σ

AGARCH Model

Tap to view equation

ParameterValuet-statistic
ω

const

Unconditional variance weight

0.3239
4.70***
α

ARCH

Response to squared shocks

0.1404
6.90***
β

GARCH

Volatility persistence

0.7505
20.82***
γ

leverage

Additional response to negative shocks

0.2096
0.89

Persistence:

0.891

Half-life:

6 days